SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | UD Ibiza |
63.83% ( 1.18) | 22.28% ( -0.16) | 13.89% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.92% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -1.19) | 54.41% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -1) | 75.78% ( 1) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.01) | 16.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.76% ( -0.02) | 46.24% ( 0.02) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.21% ( -2.23) | 49.79% ( 2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.49% ( -1.61) | 84.51% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.6)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.57% Total : 13.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Levante | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Granada | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Albacete | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Burgos | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leganes | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Villarreal II | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 19 |
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