SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 1-2 (7.06%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (12.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Racing de Santander |
33.43% ( -0.08) | 30.5% ( -0.22) | 36.07% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.77% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.65) | 66.69% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.94% ( 0.44) | 85.05% ( -0.44) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( 0.3) | 37.05% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.16% ( 0.3) | 73.84% ( -0.3) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.56) | 35.22% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.02% ( 0.58) | 71.97% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 66 |
| 2 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 65 |
| 3 | Granada | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 64 |
| 4 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Levante | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Albacete | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 58 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 56 |
| 8 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 51 |
| 9 | Burgos | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 48 |
| 13 | TenerifeTenerife | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 47 |
| 14 | Huesca | 37 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 47 |
| 15 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Leganes | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 19 | Malaga | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 39 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 27 |
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