SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Racing de Santander |
35.48% ( 0.12) | 31.45% ( -0.08) | 33.07% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 38.44% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.23) | 69.4% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.15% ( 0.15) | 86.85% ( -0.14) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.21) | 37.14% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.08% ( 0.21) | 73.92% ( -0.21) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.11) | 38.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.41% ( 0.11) | 75.59% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 35.47% | 0-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.45% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 33.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 64 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 61 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 5 | Levante | 34 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | Albacete | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Burgos | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 49 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | Huesca | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 43 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 40 |
| 18 | Leganes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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