Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
