SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Alaves | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Burgos | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Villarreal II | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Lugo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.36%. A draw had a probability of 33% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 29.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.89%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Real Oviedo |
37.36% ( -0.04) | 33.01% ( -0.02) | 29.63% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 34.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.35% ( 0.05) | 73.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.52% ( 0.03) | 89.48% ( -0.03) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0) | 38.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.93% | 75.07% ( -0) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.89% ( 0.08) | 44.1% ( -0.08) |
