SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Levante | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Burgos | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Eibar | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.77%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
34.64% ( -0.87) | 29.6% ( 0.14) | 35.77% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 43.22% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% ( -0.45) | 63.82% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( -0.32) | 83.05% ( 0.33) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.83) | 34.64% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( -0.89) | 71.36% ( 0.89) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.25) | 33.88% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.45% ( 0.27) | 70.55% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.58% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 55 |
| 9 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 10 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 39 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 28 |
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