SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Lugo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Ponferradina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Ponferradina |
54.81% ( 0.82) | 23.82% ( -0.26) | 21.36% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( 0.41) | 49.43% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( 0.37) | 71.47% ( -0.37) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.46) | 17.91% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.28% ( 0.79) | 48.72% ( -0.79) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.32) | 37.63% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.59% ( -0.32) | 74.4% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Granada | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Levante | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Albacete | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Leganes | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | MirandesMirandes | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 23 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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