SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
30.89% ( -0.15) | 27.47% ( 0.1) | 41.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -0.43) | 57.04% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.35) | 77.93% ( 0.35) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.33) | 33.7% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.65% ( -0.36) | 70.35% ( 0.37) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.17) | 26.99% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.66% ( -0.23) | 62.35% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Spartans | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 8 |
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