SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clyde win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clyde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clyde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clyde | Draw | Elgin City |
43.54% ( 0.04) | 25.97% ( -0.01) | 30.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.03) | 51.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( 0.02) | 73.18% ( -0.02) |
| Clyde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.03) | 23.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.52% ( 0.04) | 57.48% ( -0.04) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0) | 31.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.63% ( -0.01) | 67.37% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clyde | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartans | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
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