SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
53.73% ( -0.08) | 23.13% ( 0.02) | 23.14% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.02) | 44.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.02) | 66.89% ( 0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.03) | 16.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.74% ( -0.06) | 46.26% ( 0.07) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.04) | 33.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.18% ( 0.04) | 69.82% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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