SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
44.76% ( -0.27) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 30.28% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.23) | 47.19% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.22) | 69.42% ( -0.21) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.02) | 21.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.04% ( -0.04) | 53.96% ( 0.04) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.32) | 29.09% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.99% ( 0.39) | 65.01% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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