SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
31.28% ( -0) | 24.44% ( -0) | 44.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.01) | 44.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.01) | 66.74% ( -0.01) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0) | 27.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.62% ( 0) | 62.37% ( -0) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0.01) | 20.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.55% ( 0.01) | 52.45% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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