SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 84.43%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 5.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Peterhead |
84.43% ( 0.01) | 10.32% ( -0) | 5.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.01) | 26.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.01) | 46.88% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.59% ( 0.01) | 4.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 81.83% ( 0.01) | 18.17% ( -0.01) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0) | 49.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.62% ( 0) | 84.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Peterhead |
| 3-0 @ 11.08% 2-0 @ 10.65% 4-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.5% Total : 84.42% | 1-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.62% 0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.32% | 1-2 @ 1.68% 0-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 5.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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