SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
36.93% ( 0.13) | 25.06% ( -0.15) | 38.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( 0.73) | 45.93% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( 0.69) | 68.23% ( -0.69) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.41) | 24.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.15% ( 0.57) | 58.85% ( -0.57) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.35) | 23.85% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.96% ( 0.49) | 58.03% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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