SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
52.49% ( 0.39) | 24.32% ( -0.17) | 23.19% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( 0.47) | 49.56% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( 0.42) | 71.59% ( -0.42) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.33) | 18.84% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.7% ( 0.56) | 50.29% ( -0.56) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0.05) | 35.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.27% ( 0.05) | 72.73% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Montrose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
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