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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
46.08% ( -0.06) | 24.26% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( 0.07) | 44.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.07) | 66.71% ( -0.07) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0) | 19.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.81% ( 0) | 51.19% ( -0) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( 0.08) | 28.07% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.27% ( 0.1) | 63.73% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Montrose | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 7 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 |
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