SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
38.16% ( -2) | 24.79% ( -0.09) | 37.06% ( 2.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.61) | 44.65% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.59) | 67.01% ( -0.59) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.73) | 23.2% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.91% ( -1.09) | 57.09% ( 1.09) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( 1.43) | 23.77% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( 2.02) | 57.93% ( -2.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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