SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
39.05% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0) | 35.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -0.02) | 48.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -0.02) | 70.52% ( 0.02) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.16% ( -0) | 58.83% ( 0.01) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.02) | 26.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.38% ( -0.03) | 61.62% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Montrose | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 7 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 |
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