SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
32.47% ( -0.76) | 26.74% ( -0.75) | 40.79% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( 2.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.18% ( 2.76) | 53.82% ( -2.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( 2.27) | 75.29% ( -2.27) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( 0.89) | 30.94% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.77% ( 1.03) | 67.23% ( -1.03) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( 2.13) | 25.96% ( -2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.03% ( 2.78) | 60.97% ( -2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.81) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.91)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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