Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
