SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
54.18% ( -0.01) | 22.26% | 23.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.01) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( 0.01) | 62.48% ( -0.01) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( -0) | 14.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.92% ( -0) | 43.08% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0.02) | 30.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.38% ( 0.02) | 66.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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