SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
33.29% ( -0.08) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 41.03% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( 0.01) | 49.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( 0.01) | 71.26% ( -0.01) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( -0.05) | 28.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.22% ( -0.06) | 63.78% ( 0.06) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.05) | 23.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.1% ( 0.07) | 57.89% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.29% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 |
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