SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
63.59% ( 0.38) | 20.39% ( -0.36) | 16.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( 1.56) | 42.78% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( 1.53) | 65.18% ( -1.54) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( 0.59) | 12.79% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.91% ( 1.21) | 39.09% ( -1.21) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.92) | 39.73% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.59% ( 0.84) | 76.4% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.49)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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