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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Edinburgh City |
30.92% ( -0.01) | 25.55% ( -0.01) | 43.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.05) | 49.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.04) | 71.46% ( -0.04) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.01) | 29.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.16% ( 0.02) | 65.84% ( -0.02) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.75% ( 0.05) | 56.25% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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