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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
60.48% ( -0.19) | 22.21% ( 0.05) | 17.3% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.04) | 48.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( 0.04) | 70.5% ( -0.04) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.05) | 15.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.51% ( -0.09) | 44.49% ( 0.09) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( 0.2) | 41.48% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.02% ( 0.17) | 77.98% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 43 | 22 | 46 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 39 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Clyde | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 12 |
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