SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
27.07% ( 2.14) | 24.58% ( 0.27) | 48.35% ( -2.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( 0.51) | 47.37% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( 0.47) | 69.59% ( -0.46) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( 1.99) | 31.51% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.1% ( 2.24) | 67.9% ( -2.23) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.78) | 19.65% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.38% ( -1.28) | 51.62% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 49 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Clyde | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 29 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 72 | -59 | 12 |
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