SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
51.47% ( 0.01) | 23.99% ( -0.02) | 24.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( 0.07) | 46.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( 0.06) | 69.16% ( -0.06) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( 0.03) | 18.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.74% ( 0.05) | 49.26% ( -0.05) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( 0.04) | 33.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.06% ( 0.04) | 69.94% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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