SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
65.68% ( 0.04) | 19.58% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0) | 41.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0) | 64.09% ( -0) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( 0.01) | 11.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.82% ( 0.03) | 37.18% ( -0.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.04) | 40.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.66% ( -0.04) | 77.34% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 65.68% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.58% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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