SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
43.59% ( -0.04) | 25.94% ( 0.17) | 30.47% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.78) | 51.23% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( -0.69) | 73.07% ( 0.68) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.36) | 23.38% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0.52) | 57.36% ( 0.52) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( -0.5) | 31% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.69% ( -0.58) | 67.31% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.47% |
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