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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 4-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.08%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
84.59% ( 0.08) | 10.69% ( 0) | 4.72% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.65% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.07% ( -0.51) | 31.92% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.52% ( -0.6) | 53.47% ( 0.6) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.65% ( -0.08) | 5.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.99% ( -0.23) | 21% ( 0.23) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.01% ( -0.72) | 55.99% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.53% ( -0.43) | 88.46% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 84.58% | 1-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 10.69% | 0-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 4.72% |
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