Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
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