Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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