SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
60.13% ( 0.4) | 22.61% ( -0.13) | 17.27% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.16) | 50.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.14) | 72% ( -0.13) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( 0.19) | 16.24% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.34) | 45.76% ( -0.34) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% ( -0.22) | 42.51% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.12% ( -0.19) | 78.88% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 60.12% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.27% |
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