SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
33.79% ( 0.02) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 38.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% ( 0.06) | 57.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( 0.05) | 78.11% ( -0.05) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.04) | 31.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( 0.05) | 68.23% ( -0.05) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.03) | 28.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0.03) | 64.71% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.51% |
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