SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
42.17% ( 0.13) | 26.6% ( -0.18) | 31.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( 0.71) | 53.63% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( 0.6) | 75.13% ( -0.61) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.39) | 25.15% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( 0.54) | 59.87% ( -0.54) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( 0.4) | 31.69% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( 0.46) | 68.11% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.23% |
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