SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
48.79% ( 0.13) | 25.9% ( -0.05) | 25.3% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% ( 0.14) | 54.01% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( 0.12) | 75.45% ( -0.12) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.12) | 22.16% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 0.18) | 55.55% ( -0.18) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.01) | 36.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( 0) | 73.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.3% |
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