SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Dynamo Moscow has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win is 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
40.74% ( -0.58) | 24.01% ( 0.97) | 35.25% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( -3.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -4.86) | 41.16% ( 4.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( -5.13) | 63.56% ( 5.12) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -2.3) | 20.41% ( 2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.14% ( -3.78) | 52.85% ( 3.78) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -2.43) | 23.15% ( 2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.97% ( -3.69) | 57.03% ( 3.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 1.1)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.89) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.97)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 74 | 20 | 54 | 70 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 46 | 16 | 48 |
| 7 | OrenburgOrenburg | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 45 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Sochi | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Fakel | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 67 | -42 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 13 |
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