Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 11.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
71.46% ( 0.07) | 16.82% ( -0.03) | 11.72% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.04% ( 0.04) | 35.96% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.94% ( 0.05) | 58.06% ( -0.04) |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.13% ( 0.03) | 8.87% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.63% ( 0.06) | 30.37% ( -0.06) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.39% ( -0.03) | 41.6% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.91% ( -0.03) | 78.09% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
CSKA Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 71.45% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.82% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 11.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
3 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 53 |
4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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