Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
49.95% ( 0.09) | 24.87% ( -0.1) | 25.18% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( 0.41) | 50.01% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( 0.37) | 71.99% ( -0.36) |
Dynamo Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% ( 0.2) | 20.04% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% ( 0.32) | 52.25% ( -0.32) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( 0.24) | 34.44% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% ( 0.25) | 71.16% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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