SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
63.47% ( -0.01) | 20.45% ( -0) | 16.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.02) | 42.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( 0.02) | 65.32% ( -0.02) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% | 12.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.75% ( 0) | 39.25% ( -0) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.02) | 39.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.59% ( 0.02) | 76.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.25% Total : 63.47% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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