SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
58.03% ( -0.08) | 22.31% ( 0.05) | 19.66% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.19) | 45.23% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.18) | 67.57% ( 0.18) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( -0.09) | 15.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.99% ( -0.17) | 44.01% ( 0.17) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.08) | 36.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.24% ( -0.08) | 73.76% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 17 | 53 | 65 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 | Fakel | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 13 |
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