Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
