SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vizela |
38.03% ( 0.07) | 27.69% ( -0.02) | 34.28% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( 0.06) | 57.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( 0.04) | 78.04% ( -0.05) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.07) | 29.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.98% ( 0.09) | 65.02% ( -0.09) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.01) | 31.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.19% ( -0.01) | 67.81% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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