We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Vizela
Rio Ave will head into the new season with confidence, and, possibly eyeing Saturday as a good chance to put points on the board at home to a side who narrowly avoided relegation last term, we see Os Rioavistas coming away with an opening-day win.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.