SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
28.56% ( 0.06) | 24.38% ( 0.02) | 47.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.06) | 45.52% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.06) | 67.85% ( 0.06) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.01) | 29.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.56% ( 0.01) | 65.44% ( -0.01) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0.05) | 19.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.7% ( -0.09) | 51.29% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.56% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
