SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
42.66% ( -0.01) | 26.49% ( 0.02) | 30.85% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( -0.08) | 53.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( -0.06) | 74.85% ( 0.06) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.04) | 24.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.68% ( -0.05) | 59.31% ( 0.05) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( -0.04) | 31.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.77% ( -0.05) | 68.23% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Porto | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Braga | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Vizela | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
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