We said: Vizela 1-1 Gil Vicente
Both sides have started the season relatively poorly, although they have had difficult games, with Vizela coming up short against Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente losing against Benfica.
Given that just three points separated the two teams in the league last season, we expect Friday's game to finish as a draw, with Vizela making it four games without a win in the Primeira Liga.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result |
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
38.51% ( 0.04) | 25.74% ( -0.02) | 35.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.06) |
| 50.92% ( 0.07) | 49.07% ( -0.07) |
| 28.85% ( 0.06) | 71.15% ( -0.06) |
| 74.99% ( 0.05) | 25.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.33% ( 0.08) | 59.66% ( -0.08) |
| 73.44% ( 0.02) | 26.56% ( -0.02) |
