SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.75% ( -0) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( 0.05) | 71.47% ( -0.05) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.88% ( 0.03) | 79.12% ( -0.03) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.03) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
