Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-0 Vizela - Primeira Liga - May 7, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Buoyed by their victory over Maritimo, Teixeira's men will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to rekindle their race for a spot in Europe. While Vizela have the firepower in their ranks, they have struggled to get going in recent weeks and we predict that Vitoria de Guimaraes will do just enough to come away victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
36.2%	27.64% ( 0)	36.17% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13%

56.87% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21%

77.79% (

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.18% (

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93%

30.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8%

66.2% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.19%

Vizela 36.16%

Draw 27.63%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.16%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	34	28	3	3	82	20	62	87
2	Porto	34	27	4	3	73	22	51	85
3	Braga	33	24	3	6	72	30	42	75
4	Sporting Lisbon	34	23	5	6	71	32	39	74
5	Arouca Arouca	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1	54
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5	53
7	Chaves Chaves	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8	44
9	Boavista Boavista	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11	44
10	Casa Pia	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9	41
11	Vizela	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7	40
13	Gil Vicente	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9	37
14	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16	35
15	Portimonense Portimonense	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23	34
16	Maritimo	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31	26
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	33	6	5	22	26	59	-33	23
R	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32	22

Form, Standings, Stats