SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Vizela |
34.48% ( 0) | 26.41% ( -0.01) | 39.11% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( 0.03) | 52.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( 0.03) | 73.79% ( -0.03) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( 0.02) | 28.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.4% ( 0.02) | 64.6% ( -0.02) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.9% ( 0.02) | 61.1% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Benfica | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Porto | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Vizela | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 10 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
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